Flex›Source - Nationell Dialog Flexibilitet Nätkapacitet 12 Maj 2026

Source - Nationell Dialog Flexibilitet Nätkapacitet 12 Maj 2026

Event: Nationell dialog om flexibilitet och nätkapacitet, organised by Ei (Energimarknadsinspektionen). Date: 12 May 2026, Stockholm. Format: Two half-day sessions (morning + afternoon). Moderator: Malin Strand (Affärsutvecklingschef, Energiforsk). Opening remarks: Therése Hindman Persson (tf. generaldirektör, Ei). Source type: Presentation slides from both sessions.

Morning session — presenters and key content

Accelerationskontoret (Kristina Alvendal, Industrisamordnare)

Mandate: accelerate the green industrial transition and strengthen Swedish competitiveness. Tools include removing regulatory obstacles, conducting analysis, holding negotiating mandates, signing agreements, proposing legislative changes.

Municipal incentives analysis (supplementary assignment, due 14 May 2026): a survey of Swedish municipalities found roughly half had experienced planned industrial establishments that did not materialise, primarily due to infrastructure and land access problems. Municipalities want state support for economic risk sharing, housing construction, skills supply, and infrastructure.

Three proposals on appeals process: (1) legislation to remove certain state authorities’ right to appeal county board decisions under the Environmental Code; (2) reporting requirements on social impact of decisions; (3) consultative mandate for authorities.

Västra Götaland — ACCEL (Jesper Blomqvist, VGR)

ACCEL (Accelererad elnätsutveckling i Västra Götaland): a collaboration platform initiated 2021–2022 by Länsstyrelsen, Regionen, and Svenska kraftnät; now also includes Vattenfall Eldistribution. Other participants: Ellevio, Göteborg Energi Nät, kommunalförbund.

Regional energy situation: Västra Götaland is an industry-heavy, export/import-dependent region. Electricity need: 6 TWh today → 14 TWh by 2035 from industry alone, plus transport and new establishments. Self-sufficiency: approximately 1/3 of need today; needs to increase. Regional energy agreement signed 19 May 2026 — samsyn document noting 15–20 TWh additional need by 2030.

ACCEL working groups: permits, forecasting, energy planning, communications, proactive grid development.

Proactive grid development goal: grid capacity as an enabler for the energy transition; identify how to connect customers faster; define proactive grid development with customers and establishment offices.

Kinnekulle Energi — Kinnekulle Flex (Albin Frängård)

See separate coverage under Kinnekulle Energi.

Key figures:

  • Subscribed capacity 2023: 54.5 MW; projected need 2028: 135 MW — a 2.5× growth gap
  • Market active: 2023/2024/2025 seasons
  • 4 contracted flex resources; 2,500–5,500 kW flex capacity
  • Two provider types: Longflex and Max usage
  • Winter season 2024/2025: ~100 MWh purchased
  • Season 2025/2026 additions: automation of ~5 MW industrial flex + ~12 MW / 24 MWh batteries; automated flex purchases on forecast and dynamic load data
  • Target season 2026/2027: 10–12 MW in flex

Gotland (presentation by regional/Regionnät representative)

Grid situation: wind and solar cover 50% of island electricity need today. Currently connected to mainland via two DC cables in the regionnät.

2030: transmission-level AC connection to mainland (two 220 kV AC cables) replacing the DC cables. Grid modernisation and capacity increase of the Gotland network underway.

Total defence planning: Island operation capability planned in the context of MCF’s Utgångspunkter för totalförsvaret, Typsituation 4 — Anfall mot Gotland. Planning basis: three-month island operation (ö-driftsförmåga). Energy scenarios show electricity use at heightened readiness may be at least as large as in normal conditions.

GAIST — Gotland Accelererar i Samverkan för Grön Tillväxt: regional collaboration platform for green growth on Gotland. Projects include e-fuel hub, reserve and base power (gas turbines), solar parks with batteries, wind repowering (Nåsudden generation shift ~50 turbines/0.8 TWh; Centrala Gotland ~50 turbines/1 TWh; Ran ~50 turbines/2–3 TWh; Boge vindpark ~15 turbines/0.3 TWh).

Challenge — overlapping interests: nature conservation, cultural heritage, recreation, total defence interests create conflicts with energy transition. Solutions being pursued: grid group for streamlined permitting; FRaM project for wind/defence coexistence.

Försvarsmakten

Presented as part of the Gotland cluster, focusing on military review of wind power applications.

FRaM project (Försvarsmaktens projekt om möjligheterna till vindkraft): analysis of conditions for wind power coexistence with military operations on Gotland. Methodology development; condition-neutral analysis. Gotland is both complex and strategically important for total defence. Similar analysis previously completed for Värmland and Dalarna.

What Försvarsmakten reviews: technical systems (radars, communications, navigation), flight operations (stop zones, MSA area, hindrance-free zones), openly declared national interests, classified facilities/systems, sea and blast areas, training/shooting ranges.

Svenska kraftnät (Mia Ahlstrand, Samhällskontakt Nord)

Overview of Svk’s role: transmission grid (16,000+ km), 175+ transformation/switching stations, 134 TWh consumption 2025, 1,865 employees.

Investment programme: 225 billion SEK planned 2026–2035; 82 major construction projects started before 2036; ~1,500 km new lines, ~30 new stations, reinvestment of >2,500 km lines and ~half of 200 stations.

LT50 — Lead time reduction 50%: Svk’s strategic programme to halve project lead times. Described as critical for matching the investment programme with the pace of electrification need. Tools: regional dialogue, strengthened interaction with county boards, municipalities, regions, and other societal actors; new roles and working methods.

Avgörande samspel: Svk frames grid development as requiring collaboration between region, municipality, business, authorities, grid companies, and landowners — “the ability to unite, explain, and show the way.”

Afternoon session — presenters and key content

Västerbotten — FREIA (Annelie Karlsson, Region Västerbotten; Jenny Nordén, Länsstyrelsen Västerbotten)

FREIA (Framtidens robusta energisystem i Västerbotten): collaboration platform for energy system development in Västerbotten. Participants: Region Västerbotten and Länsstyrelsen Västerbotten as co-leaders; DSOs, municipalities, industry.

Västerbotten energy situation: large-scale production but local power and capacity shortages. Ömsele area specifically highlighted as an example of “large production but local capacity shortage.” The region must move from fragmented sector-specific planning to a shared picture of the energy system.

FREIA’s structure: (1) relationship building and collaboration; (2) strategic questions on different parts of the energy system; (3) own projects and synergies between regional and local initiatives; (4) preparedness and resilience.

Reflections/forward look: FREIA is explicitly positioned as a learning exercise — “we are beginners at flexibility.” Focus on making power and capacity accessible; flexibility and other system services with focus on local and regional value creation.

Norrbotten — AGON and Norrmodellen

AGON (Accelererad Grön Omställning i Norrbotten): broad collaboration coalition for green transition. Active since autumn 2021 (origin in high-altitude zone management for low-flight operations). Convened by County Governor Lotta Finstorp.

AGON composition: Svenska kraftnät, Vattenfall, Vattenfall Eldistribution, SSAB, LKAB, Stegra, Försvarsmakten, Ei, Trafikverket, Fossilfritt Sverige, Tillväxtverket, Region Norrbotten, Norrbottens Kommuner, Luleå/Boden/Gällivare municipalities, and government industrial coordinators. 5 meetings per year on themes identified by the group. Two subgroups: rennäring (reindeer herding) and Norrmodellen.

AGON-andan: the most important output is a collaborative climate where actors make extra effort to find new solutions — “for Norrbotten’s best.” Produces a shared knowledge base, platform for discovering collaboration opportunities, constructive examples.

Norrbotten context: 14 municipalities, ~250,000 residents, 100,000 km² (larger than Götaland or Svealand). Low electricity price; SE1 has >90% renewable electricity (competitive advantage for H2/P2X). ~90% of EU iron ore production from Norrbotten and Västerbotten. SEK 1 trillion in investments in coming years (per Norrbottens Handelskammare). Participants: LKAB, SSAB, Stegra, Boliden, Uniper, Talga, Viscaria, Nordion, Kaunis Iron, and others.

Norrmodellen: a working method and collaboration model for deep insight into current and future power and energy needs. Administered by Länsstyrelsen. Gathers affected grid companies and large industries. Uses the experience and networks from AGON, Luleåmodellen (Luleå Energi), and Ei’s pilot project northern Sweden/electricity market rules dialogue.

Norrmodellen content and scope: municipality-level mapping of both withdrawal (uttag) and injection (inmatning) on the local grid. Aggregated at municipality and county level. Living document — updated at certain frequency. High precision for the nearest 5–8 years; lower precision further ahead.

Meetings completed 2025–2026:

  • Grid companies autumn 2025
  • Base industry (SSAB, LKAB, Stegra, Boliden, SCA, etc.) 14 January 2026
  • Grid companies + base industry + Ei: 12 April 2026

Participants in 12 April 2026 meeting: Luleå Energi, Piteå Energi, Boden Energi, Jukkasjärvi belysningsförening, Vattenfall Eldistribution, Svenska kraftnät, Billerud, Boliden, Kaunis Iron, LKAB, LKAB ReeMap, SCA, Smurfit Westrock, SSAB, Stegra, Talga, Uniper, Viscaria, Ei.

Four focus areas for meetings: (1) actual power needs over time (both withdrawal and injection); (2) society — electricity’s role in societal transformation; (3) total defence — grey zone issues; (4) action plan — basis for measures enabling electrification.

Tillväxtverket (AnneLie Granljung, Coordinator)

Coordinating national work to support reindustrialisation and societal transformation in Norrbotten and Västerbotten, 2023–2026. Offers knowledge, networks, and financing. Target groups: municipalities, regions, county boards, state authorities, Government Offices.

Lessons and insights (Delrapport 3, April 2026):

  • Market uncertainty affects establishment decisions
  • Coordinated holistic view required
  • Population growth requires more than individual interventions
  • Ability to handle rapid change is decisive

Recommendations: increase knowledge in authorities on Sami perspectives; strengthen municipalities’ capacity; create a long-term consolidated mandate for coordination; stimulate in-migration from other parts of Sweden; conduct a broader review of county board financing models.

Skånes Effektkommission (Anders Östlund, Matilde Törnqvist, Sara Förlin Tynelius)

See separate coverage under Skånes Effektkommission.

SE4 headline statistic: SE4 is the area in all of the EU with the least installed production capacity relative to expected peak load.

Skånes Effektkommission roadmap target: increase Skåne’s electricity self-sufficiency from 15% today (2025) to at least 50% by 2030 (during all hours of the year).

NET (Nätutveckling Effektivt Tillsammans): collaboration between Region Skåne, Länsstyrelsen Skåne, Svenska kraftnät, and E.ON Energidistribution. Formed 24 January 2024. Activities 2025: joint communications plan, NET-report “Skåne rustar för framtiden,” municipality tour, permitting coordination with Länsstyrelsen and Svk, Almedalen/Ystad Summit/Energiting Syd outreach. Activities 2026: efficient permitting, risk identification for grid expansion delays, knowledge base for municipalities, municipality tour continued (Burlöv, Staffanstorp, Svedala).

Anslut i Skåne portal (launched 8 May 2026): a shared digital portal for all grid connection applications >0.5 MW in Skåne. Goal: all 21 Skåne grid companies. Single entry point for new “larger” customers. Standardises the connection process across all Skåne DSOs. Developed by Forefront/Energiforsk. Demo: anslutiskanedemo.se

Etableringskartan: digital map tool showing industrial land availability (fastigheter, detailed plan areas, oversight plan areas) combined with grid capacity data — for investors, DSOs, and municipalities to identify suitable establishment sites earlier. Better decision basis, faster preliminary information for investors, improved planning for grid companies.

NUP harmonisation (nätutvecklingsplaner): collaboration on more uniform and comparable Skåne grid development plans. Guidance document published on vocabulary/definitions, capacity status, and long-term power forecasts. Working on 2027–2036 DNDP cycle.

Flexibility / attracting resources: focus on district heating and CHP (combined heat and power) as important for SE4 power balance. Project Värmescenario Sydsverige analysing CHP role to 2035. Policy asks: more plannable power production in Skåne, compensation for CHP’s ability to relieve grids, national fuel supply plan, targets for preparedness benefits (island operation capability).

Repowering: 50% of Skåne’s electricity production is wind power. Age distribution of Skåne wind turbines (2025): 12% 0–10 years, 23% 11–15 years, 27% 16–20 years, 17% 20–25 years, 21% over 25 years old. Repowering is the only realistic option to prevent production decline as demand rapidly grows. Activities: Repoweringdag 9 December 2025 and 29 May 2026 (for turbine owners, investors, wind energy companies, authorities). Vägledning on permits and notification for repowering published. Intent declaration on wind power in Skåne signed.

Skånes Effektkommission Metod och vägledning för bedömning av flexibilitetsbehov: published methodology guide for DSO flexibility need assessment (see Source - Skånes Effektkommission Flexibilitetsbehov Metod (2026)). Produced by E.ON Energidistribution, Kraftringen Nät, and Öresundskraft Elnät — three of the grid companies participating in the Effektkommission.

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