Source - Nätutvecklingsplaner i Skåne 2025-2034 Region Skåne (2025)

Metadata

Summary

Region Skåne’s synthesis of all 20 Skåne grid companies’ first-round Distribution Network Development Plans (NUPs) for the 2025–2034 period. The document provides the most comprehensive cross-DSO comparative view of capacity needs, forecast methodology, and flexibility service plans for Skåne. It also includes Svenska kraftnät‘s planned investments in SE4 transmission infrastructure.

Designed as a resource for spatial planning integration — connecting DSO NUP data to municipal and regional land-use decisions.

All-DSO capacity forecast table (2025→2034)

From page 23 of the synthesis. Note: figures are not directly comparable across DSOs due to different base years, different accounting of production vs. consumption, and different treatment of accumulated vs. incremental needs. A disclaimer to this effect appears alongside the table.

Flexibility service status by DSO

Detailed status for each company reporting flexibility plans or needs:

Companies with concrete flex timelines:

• Ystad Energi: 10 MW flex from 2027 (batteries, EV charging, production disconnection). Investments sufficient until 2027; after 2027 requires flex + reinforcement. Shore power for shipping from 2030 is the structural driver.
• Österlens Kraft: 10 MW from 2028 (battery storage + user flexibility). Still early-stage market. Investments adequate until 2027; then flex + reinforcement needed.
• Bjäre Kraft Elnät: planning a local flexibility market with 5 MW capacity by 2030 (battery storage + transport electrification drivers).
• Södra Hallands Kraft: flex market in collaboration with E.ON; initially targeting production-side (curtailment); evaluating for consumption-side. Capacity variability throughout year; local flex can defer new investment.

Companies developing tools:

• Kraftringen Nät: villkorade avtal being developed for temporary capacity constraints; needs identified at Härby, Klippan, Maglasäte, Borgeby (constrained against overlying E.ON regionnet).
• Landskrona Energi: villkorade avtal in active use + signal system for production management at grid faults. Explicitly states no need for flex services beyond villkorade avtal; LEAB sees investments as sufficient and states no flex market need.
• Skånska Energi Nät (SENAB): villkorade avtal being developed; flex models as potential future tools. Explicitly notes that flex development depends on “regulatory development and revenue cap incentives” — directly linking TOTEX reform to market participation decisions.
• Mellersta Skånes Kraft: considering user flexibility, energy storage, support services; “rules and market for flex still under development.”
• Trelleborgs Elnät: battery storage + user flexibility under consideration; anticipates support services needed within 5 years. Investments sufficient until 2027; thereafter flex needed.
• C4 Elnät: “relatively large” flex need in Kristianstad subarea until new 130 kV connection (2030–2034); limited by AllVerket CHP local production.
• Sjöbo Elnät: flex as complement; infrequent occasions (unfavourable trading flows + weather); battery installation interest from customers.
• Skurups Elverk: flex being investigated as complement to investment.
• E.ON regionnet: flexibility markets and villkorade avtal used to balance the network; combination with batteries.

Companies stating low/no flex need:

• Höganäs: “flex market being followed but not locally relevant”; possible production curtailment in abnormal operation. No capacity-increasing investments planned (only replacement investments).
• Bromölla Energi: effekttariffer used to reduce peak demand; flex need assessed as low.
• Olofströms Kraft: effekttariffer; low flex need for coming 10 years (network robust for future requirements).
• Olseröd: effekttariffer; low impact from flex.
• Brittedals Elnät: capacity increasing investments planned; sufficient to 2034.

Cross-cutting findings

Forecast methodology fragmentation

Different DSOs used different base years, different definitions of “need” (additions only vs. total capacity; with or without production), different treatment of point connections (some include, some exclude), and different diversity assumptions. The synthesis table on p. 23 explicitly notes this makes direct cross-company comparison unreliable. This is the same problem identified by Ei PM2025:03 at national level — and directly motivates both the Skånes Effektkommission NUP harmonisation work and the Energiforsk national forecasting method.

E.ON regionnet as structural bottleneck

Almost every Skåne lokalnät DSO flags that its own grid investments are contingent on E.ON Energidistribution’s regionnet capacity. This is most explicit for: Kraftringen (Härby, Klippan, Maglasäte, Borgeby), C4 Elnät (Kristianstad new 130 kV connection), Höganäs (larger production connections blocked), Sjöbo (E.ON dialogue required for regional capacity), SENAB (large point connections depend on E.ON). The regionnet constraint is the structural chokepoint between lokalnät investment planning and its implementation.

Solar reverse-flow problem

Several smaller DSOs project solar production exceeding consumption load by end of decade, reversing the dimensioning direction:

• Sjöbo Elnät: solar capacity forecast >100% increase (37 MW consumption → 52 MW; solar ~56 MW)
• Skurups Elverk: solar 5→12 MW (+140%); max solar injection exceeds max consumption in some areas
• Södra Hallands Kraft: production 23→74 MW (+222%), from wind/solar
• Österlens Kraft: solar 25–250% growth in scenarios
• SENAB: in some areas, max solar injection is the dimensioning case (not peak consumption)

This is a structural shift: these DSOs can no longer plan using consumption-only peak dimensioning — they must simultaneously plan for peak production injection.

Point connections (punktlaster) as the primary uncertainty

Most DSOs explicitly exclude large point connections from their forecasts because feasibility is uncertain. SENAB, Staffanstorps Energi, and Ystad Energi all note that many queued connections exceed network capacity and are not counted in forecasts pending reinforcement decisions. This echoes the national DNDP synthesis finding (Ei PM2025:03) that the 0→277 MW minimum in the first year flexibility range largely reflects this exclusion.

Heavy transport and shore power concentrated at corridors and ports

Specific concentrated charging demand identified at:

• E6 corridor (Burlöv, Burl, Staffanstorp, Kävlinge): Södra Hallands Kraft, Staffanstorps Energi, SENAB
• E65 corridor: Skurups Elverk (Skurup town + E65 fast charging)
• Port of Ystad: all ships >8,000 GT to require shore power by 2030 (EU Maritime regulation); already a significant share of Ystad Energi’s total load; scheduled capacity increase before 2030
• Port of Trelleborg: shore power planned; combined with Kuststad 2025 urban development
• Port of Helsingborg: large load in Öresundskraft’s Helsingborg area (+73.5 MW by 2034)

Svk three-project investment package (SE4)

Svenska kraftnät’s styrelse approved a strategic direction for strengthening SE4 (2029–2035) with three action packages:

1. Arrie station renewal — securing long-term electricity supply
2. Sege station upgrade and expansion — enabling new production connections
3. Trelleborg Östra — new 400 kV station

When fully built out (primarily 2036–2045), the long-term network plan adds >1,000 MW of driftsäker capacity to SE4 — described as “twice Greater Malmö’s consumption.” Shorter-term investments (2025–2035) include: Söderåsen system transformer (2024), Hansa Powerbridge (2028/29), Ekhyddan–Nybro–Hemsj 400 kV (2027–28), Breared renewal (2027).

E.ON and Svk have coordinated on co-location of investments where possible to minimize intrång and cost. Joint communications materials used for municipality and landowner outreach.

Related pages

• Skånes Effektkommission — project owner; NUP synthesis is an Effektkommission output
• Distribution Network Development Plan — this document is a meta-analysis of 20 Skåne DSO DNDPs
• Flexibility Market — flex timelines at Ystad, Österlens, Bjäre, Södra Hallands
• Flexibility Need Assessment — Energiforsk lathund confirmed as universal methodology; methodology fragmentation finding
• E.ON Energidistribution — regionnet as structural bottleneck; investment programme 2025–2034
• Svenska kraftnät — SE4 three-package strategic direction (Arrie/Sege/Trelleborg Östra)
• Villkorade Avtal — Kraftringen, Landskrona Energi, SENAB all developing or using villkorade avtal
• Source - Effektprognoser Skåne Region Skåne (2025) — companion document providing demand context