Svk Kapacitetskarta 2026

Two-part source: the official methodology page (web clipping) and the underlying dataset extracted from Svk’s ArcGIS Feature Service. Only the methodology page is preserved in Raw/; the dataset table below was extracted from the Feature Service and cannot be re-checked against a raw file.

Saved as:

• Raw/Clippings/Kapacitetskarta transmissionsnätet.md — methodology, FAQ, and column definitions
• ArcGIS Feature Service: https://services2.arcgis.com/L8WLzcxhwLqd80Jx/arcgis/rest/services/kapacitetsdata_vy/FeatureServer/0 — dataset queried 2026-05-27; snapshot date 2026-03-02

About the Kapacitetskarta

Svk’s Kapacitetskarta transmissionsnätet is a public tool published in May 2026 (page dated 2026-05-27) providing an indicative, county-level view of available capacity on the Swedish transmission grid (stamnätet). The stated purpose is to give market actors an overview of grid headroom before committing to formal connection applications, and to enable dialogue between Svk, county authorities, DSOs, and large consumers. Monthly updates begin June 2026.

The map is a first version: county granularity only (based on substation geography, not grid topology); the map itself shows indicative available capacity for 2026 only, while a per-county pop-up table gives tilldelad/reserverad capacity for 2027–2035. Svk has stated it will add 2030 and 2035 horizon years later in 2026. This map is the precursor to the formal kapacitetskarta envisaged as part of the Anvisningssystem proposal (April 2026), which would show capacity at kapacitetszoner (connection-point level) at 5- and 10-year horizons.

Scope limitation: the map covers transmission grid only. Most Swedish connections are to regional and local networks, not the transmission grid directly, and Svk mostly connects regional network companies (so references to assigned/reserved capacity apply mainly to them). The map gives no visibility into DSO-level capacity constraints.

Column definitions

All values in MW. The 2026 indicative column and the 2027–2035 columns use different network models (the future model includes planned reinforcements not yet built). Svk explicitly states they cannot be added to or subtracted from each other to calculate a total available capacity. County figures also cannot be summed to a national or regional total.

Methodology caveats

• County = substation geography: each county’s figure is based on substations physically located within that county. Because the grid does not follow county borders, a station in one county may serve adjacent counties. A low figure in a county does not mean that county is “closed” — adjacent stations may provide alternative paths.
• 500 MW display ceiling: the map uses five color bands (< 50, 50–150, 150–300, 300–500, > 500 MW). In the extracted dataset, values of exactly 500 appear to represent the “>500 MW” band (an inference from the data, not stated by Svk) — actual capacity may be higher.
• Earlier-stage projects excluded from the 2026 calculation: projects that have not yet received a förhandsbesked (or an assignment that has been commissioned) are not included, because their grid impact has not been fully analysed and it is uncertain how many will be built. Svk also excludes the 2027–2035 assigned/reserved capacity from the 2026 figure because it rests on network models with planned reinforcements; including it would, Svk says, give an overly negative picture. A county can therefore show substantial available 2026 capacity alongside a very large ansökt queue.
• Not a closed/open verdict: Svk stresses the map is a simplified snapshot; a low band, or a low band combined with large assigned/reserved/applied volumes, generally means a larger application takes longer to realise, but some needs can still be met quickly.

Dataset (snapshot 2026-03-02, all values in MW)

“500+” = raw value was exactly 500, representing the “>500 MW” display band ceiling. ”—” = null (Gotland; reason not stated in the methodology page).

Till. = tilldelad; Res. = reserverad; Ans. = ansökt; Inm. = inmatning

Key findings

Consumption (uttag) — two Sweden

The data reveals a stark north-south split for new consumption connections:

• Constrained central/south: Stockholms, Uppsala, Södermanlands, Kalmar, Västra Götalands, Värmlands and Gävleborgs (all 0 MW) show zero near-term uttag capacity. Stockholm shows no available consumption capacity even for 2026. Of the zero-uttag counties, Södermanlands (300 MW), Västra Götalands (1,179 MW) and Uppsala (66 MW) also carry reserverad uttag.
• Headroom north: Dalarnas, Västernorrlands, Jämtlands, Västerbottens and Norrbottens counties all show 500+ MW available for new consumption (Gävleborgs, further south, shows 0). Svk’s FAQ notes that additional consumption in areas with much existing injection relieves lines, which is consistent with this pattern.

The Norrbottens connection queue

Norrbottens shows 22,750 MW ansökt uttag — by far the largest value in the dataset. The methodology page does not say what the applications are for; the large industrial-electrification pipeline in the north (e.g. green steel, hydrogen, data centers) is the plausible driver, but that is an interpretation, not stated by Svk. Ansökt is the least certain category, so only a fraction is likely to be realised.

Norrbottens also has the largest tilldelad uttag (2,810 MW) — i.e. about 12% of the ansökt volume is already under signed connection agreements for 2027–2035.

Production (inmatning) — southern surplus

Most southern counties show 500+ MW of available inmatning capacity with little pending consumption to balance it. This confirms the structural pattern documented in Bidding Areas: SE3/SE4 are net consumption zones; Svk’s FAQ notes that further injection in areas with much existing injection risks overloading lines. Hallands (1,130 MW tilldelad + 2,500 MW ansökt inmatning) and Västra Götalands (3,600 MW ansökt inmatning) show the largest southern production pipelines, plausibly reflecting wind development interest on the west coast (an interpretation; the source does not state technology).

Värmland anomaly

Värmlands shows 0 for both uttag and inmatning in 2026 with only 1 MW reserverad uttag — unusual for a county with significant industrial and hydropower presence. One possible explanation, consistent with Svk’s note that stations in one county can serve adjacent counties, is that Värmland’s transmission substations are geographically placed to serve adjacent counties (Dalarna, Örebro, Västra Götalands), so the county’s effective capacity does not register in this county-based methodology. The large ansökt figures (1,400 MW uttag, 2,800 MW inmatning) suggest long-term interest despite apparent near-term saturation.

Related wiki pages

• Svenska kraftnät — capacity map as transparency initiative; anvisningssystem kapacitetszoner concept
• Anvisningssystem — the proposed formal system that this live map is a precursor to
• Bidding Areas — north-south imbalance reflected in the data
• Congestion Management — capacity map as pre-application transparency tool
• NordSyd — transmission reinforcement program addressing the north-south constraint visible in the data