FlexSource - Kinnekulle Energi Marknadsdata Web 2025-2026

Source - Kinnekulle Energi Marknadsdata Web 2025-2026


Metadata

Two web clippings from kinnekulleenergi.se, providing market data charts for both flex seasons. The numerical data was extracted visually from the embedded chart images (downloaded to raw/assets/).

ClippingURLPublishedCovers
Marknadsdata Flexhandelkinnekulleenergi.se/marknadsdata-flexhandel/2025-02-10Season 2024–2025 charts
Götene visar vägenkinnekulleenergi.se/flexsasongen-2025-2026/2026-01-22Season 2025–2026 charts + narrative

Raw files: raw/Clippings/Kinnekulle - Marknadsdata Flexhandel.md, raw/Clippings/Götene visar vägen – så kan elnätet växa utan att byggas ut.md
Chart images (extracted): raw/assets/kinnekulle-*.png

The textual data for 2024–2025 is superseded by Source - Flexsäsongen i Götene 2024-2025 Sweco. This source’s primary value is the 2025–2026 chart data and the narrative description of the second season’s setup.

Season 2025–2026 — narrative summary

Three providers (down from four in 2024–25, consistent with MaxUsage removal): two local companies and one aggregator. Resources: elpannor, kylsystem, batterier, laddinfrastruktur. Focus on developing contracts, processes, and digital follow-up for a stable long-term market. References the Sweco report as the definitive documentation of the 2024–25 season.

Season 2024–2025 chart data

Chart: Flexhandel per produkt i Götene 2024-2025

Weekly MWh by product (avropad tillgänglighet / aktiverad / MaxUsage). Consistent with Table B1 in the Sweco report; confirms the weekly pattern described there.

Chart: Flexmarknadens snittpris per MW och h i Götene 2024-2025

Average price per product per week (SEK/MW/h):

  • Tillgänglighet (availability payment): ~200–300 SEK/MW/h throughout; present only in weeks with avrop
  • Aktivering (activation price): spikes of ~2,300–2,500 SEK/MW/h in activation weeks (W50, W3, W5, W7, W8, W11, W14)
  • Max usage: stable ~300–350 SEK/MW/h every week

Ratio activation/availability: approximately 8–10×.

Chart: Effektsituation i elnätet under flexsäsongen: vardagar december 2024–mars 2025

Grid power (MW) by week:

  • Abonnemangsgräns (subscription limit): ~55 MW weeks 49–53, rises to ~60 MW from week 1 (new connection added at year-end)
  • Max effekt för veckan: ranges 30–53 MW; peak W8 (~53 MW) and W7 (~51 MW)
  • Medeleffekt vardagar: 8–42 MW depending on week; W10 anomalously low (~8 MW — likely school break or industrial shutdown)
  • No week exceeded the abonnemangsgräns

Season 2025–2026 chart data

Chart: Effekt i elnätet — vardagar under flexibilitetssäsongen december 2025–mars 2026

Grid power (MW) by week (2025-V49 through 2026-V14):

  • Abonnemangsgräns: constant 60 MW throughout
  • Maximal effekt under veckan (orange bars): ranges 33–60 MW; W7 2026 reaches exactly 60 MW — the subscription ceiling
  • Medeleffekt vardagar (grey line): ranges ~20–44 MW
  • Key: W7 2026 was the most critical week; the flex market was likely essential to prevent breach

Chart: Flexhandel för Tillgänglighet i Götene 2025-2026

Four-stage process data (avropad / accepterad / aktiverad / validerad) per week:

  • Most weeks: low volumes across all stages (0–10 MWh range)
  • W7 2026 spike: very large avropad volume (~65–70 MWh); substantial accepterad (~35+ MWh); coincides exactly with the 60 MW peak week
  • More structured data pipeline compared to 2024–25 (four stages vs two), indicating improved process maturity

Chart: Genomsnittliga priser för handeln av flexibilitet under säsongen 2025-2026

Average prices by product and week (SEK):

  • Tillgänglighet: ~200–300 SEK/MW/h consistent
  • Aktivering: spikes to ~2,500–2,600 SEK/MW/h at activation events (slightly above 2024–25 levels)
  • Max usage: ~300 SEK/MW/h stable (final season — product discontinued from 2026-27)

Chart: Flexhandel för MaxUsage under säsongen 2025-2026

Weekly avropad and validerad flex (maxnivåer per week):

  • Avropad max usage: stable ~5 MWh/week throughout season (consistent, predictable product)
  • Validerad flex — max usage: varies 1–4 MWh/week; lower than avropad (reflects actual below-limit performance)
  • MaxUsage ran as the always-on baseline product for the last time this season; removed from 2026–27

Key quantitative comparison across seasons

Metric2024–252025–26
Abonnemangsgräns~55→60 MW60 MW
Season peak demand (weekly max)~53 MW (W8)60 MW (W7 — at ceiling)
Max weekly tillgänglighet avropad~41 MWh (W7)~65–70 MWh (W7)
Availability price~200–300 SEK/MW/h~200–300 SEK/MW/h
Activation price~2,300–2,500 SEK/MW/h~2,500–2,600 SEK/MW/h
MaxUsage price~300–350 SEK/MW/h~300 SEK/MW/h
MaxUsage volume~5 MWh/week continuous~5 MWh/week continuous
Process maturity2-stage (avropad / aktiverad)4-stage (avropad / accepterad / aktiverad / validerad)

The most significant finding: in 2025–26, peak demand reached the 60 MW subscription ceiling in W7 (February 2026), and the flex response that week was the largest of either season. The market evolved from precautionary/liquidity-building (2024–25) to genuinely necessary (2025–26).

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