VF NUP Bilaga 1 Prognos Lokalnät per Kommun
Source details
- Type
- Report
- Publisher
- Vattenfall Eldistribution AB
- Published
- 2024
- Pages
- 6
Source metadata
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Title | Bilaga 1 — Nätutvecklingsplan 2025-2034: Prognos Lokalnät per Kommun |
| Author | Vattenfall Eldistribution AB |
| Confidentiality | C1 Public |
| Pages | 6 |
| Type | Annex to DNDP (see Source - Vattenfall Eldistribution Nätutvecklingsplan 2025-2034) |
| Raw file | VF-NUP-bilaga-1-prognos-lokalnat-per-kommun.pdf |
Summary
Municipality-level local grid (lokalnät) consumption forecast annex to Vattenfall Eldistribution‘s DNDP 2025-2034. Published separately from the main DNDP in response to consultation feedback requesting greater geographic granularity. Covers ~90 municipalities across 13 counties where Vattenfall holds a network concession for area (nätkoncession för område). All figures are incremental kW (additional load above a base year), not absolute totals.
Important caveats (from the document)
- No starting values: multiple municipalities may share a single substation, making base-year allocation ambiguous. Figures show incremental additions only.
- Partial coverage: municipalities with few subscribers and low growth are excluded (not reported).
- Shared territory: Vattenfall does not hold exclusive concession in all reported municipalities; growth in areas served by other DSOs is not reflected.
- Local only: figures cover Vattenfall’s lokalnät (local distribution grid), not its regionnät (regional grid). Regional grid growth is covered in the main DNDP and is far larger (~7,500 MW of additional regional-grid consumption over the period vs ~623 MW local by 2034, roughly twelve times).
- Methodology: identical to main DNDP Section 2.1 — förstudieavtal-gated, sannolikhetsjusterad forecasts.
Key data
County totals (incremental kW, local grid)
| County | 2025 | 2030 | 2034 | Municipalities reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockholm | 28,370 | 127,720 | 153,940 | 10 (Botkyrka, Haninge, Huddinge, Sigtuna, Solna, …) |
| Uppsala | 16,250 | 81,450 | 99,760 | 7 (Uppsala, Knivsta, Enköping, Tierp, …) |
| Södermanland | 8,890 | 43,300 | 60,350 | 8 (Nyköping, Trosa, Strängnäs, …) |
| Västra Götaland | 16,250 | 90,280 | 106,520 | 26 (Stenungsund, Vänersborg, Vårgårda, Borås, …) |
| Norrbotten | 18,350 | 67,930 | 74,790 | 11 (Arjeplog, Arvidsjaur, Haparanda, Kiruna, Gällivare, …) |
| Jönköping | 6,330 | 32,750 | 34,200 | 3 (Vaggeryd, Jönköping, Mullsjö) |
| Västerbotten | 4,460 | 21,360 | 24,330 | 7 (Storuman, Nordmaling, Vilhelmina, …) |
| Östergötland | 3,910 | 19,330 | 23,400 | 8 (Motala, Finspång, Ödeshög, …) |
| Västmanland | 1,400 | 8,670 | 11,380 | 6 (Västerås, Surahammar, …) |
| Dalarna | 1,790 | 8,890 | 10,280 | 1 (Avesta) |
| Västernorrland | 1,200 | 8,340 | 9,590 | 1 (Örnsköldsvik) |
| Värmland | 2,420 | 7,890 | 8,700 | 2 (Säffle, Årjäng) |
| Örebro | 460 | 4,450 | 5,810 | 1 (Askersund) |
| Total | ~110 MW | ~522 MW | ~623 MW |
Notable municipalities
Large municipal figures (2034, not exhaustive): Uppsala (67,580 kW) is the largest single municipality; Huddinge (31,700), Nyköping (30,620), Sigtuna (26,590) and Botkyrka (24,290) follow.
- Sigtuna: 4,920→26,590 kW
- Nyköping: 5,290→30,620 kW
- Stenungsund: 3,480→18,760 kW
- Uppsala: 11,600→67,580 kW
- Vaggeryd: 2,760→14,410 kW
Norrbotten (largest municipal figures):
- Arjeplog: 3,750→15,670 kW (flattens after 2028: 15,370 in 2028, 15,670 in 2034)
- Arvidsjaur: 2,930→13,530 kW
- Gällivare: 1,530→8,870 kW
- Kiruna: 2,280→8,610 kW
Non-linear growth pattern:
- Storuman (Västerbotten): 1,790→6,780 kW by 2029, then jumps to 11,040 in 2030 (the annex gives no explanation for the step)
- Askersund (Örebro): 2,850 kW in 2029 to 4,450 kW in 2030 (the annex gives no explanation)
Relationship to main DNDP
Bilaga 1 provides the lokalnät geographic detail that the main DNDP (covering regionnät only in its Section 2.2) omits. The figures are methodologically consistent with the main DNDP but smaller — ~623 MW local by 2034 against ~7,500 MW of additional regional-grid consumption in the main DNDP; the annex reports in kW per municipality, the main DNDP in MW per operating area.
Cross-reference: the main DNDP notes that Uppsala (Mellan area) and Stockholm local grids have active Villkorade Avtal programs — Bilaga 1 shows that Uppsala city’s local grid alone is forecast to add ~68 MW of incremental load by 2034, the single largest local growth item in Vattenfall’s service territory.
Relevance to wiki
- Vattenfall Eldistribution: provides municipality-level granularity for the entity page
- Distribution Network Development Plan: Bilaga 1 was added as a direct response to consultation feedback on geographic resolution — a concrete example of DNDPs becoming more detailed under stakeholder pressure
- Villkorade Avtal: local grid growth in Uppsala and Stockholm confirms why Vattenfall actively uses villkorade avtal at lokalnät level in these areas